I realise that for that very niche group of aficionados interested in my analysis of Norwegian politics, I have been woefully absent in recent months. A most unforgivable oversight as a lot has been happening in Norse politics this past while. As is my want, I will tell the fascinating tale through the medium of an opinion poll. (A good start to any tale)
Socialists (SV) 4.9%: A good showing for the Socialists this time around. Their leader recently made the bold, but wise statement that his party will not necesarrily join a Labour-led government after the election next year. Bold because Labour are the only people interested in governing with the Socialists. Wise because it helps voters distinguish one bunch of lefties from another bunch of more moderate lefties.
Labour (AP) 33,2%: Considering they were in dizzying heights of 40% in the polls last year this result will be merely adequate. It is better than their election result in 2013 (30.6%). The party has recently come under great pressure for being indecisive on key issues, such as the refugee crisis and municipality reform. There is a campaing, cleverly orchastrated by the Conservatives to paint everything Labour says as vague and unclear. These accusations are made all the harder for Labour to swallow because they are supposed to be that natural party of government. All the worse, they’re also true.
Farmers (SP) 5.1%: Other than making an awful row about any government attempts to make our ineffective municipality structure better, the Farmers haven’t been too vocal recently. Their result is slightly down from normal, but nothing to get the pitchforks out for.
Greens (MDG) 2.9%: The biggest loser of this opinion poll is surely the Greens, who fall by 1.9%. The Greens have been teetering on a pedestal about as thick as their policy booklet recently and this opinion poll could suggest they have lost their freshness factor.
Christians (KrF) 5.1%: The Christians are growing more and more upset at the company of the swivel-eyed loons on the populist benches. The Labour party is looking ever more attractive to them, especially as one can choose to support whichever of the contradictory policies they’ve been suggesting. The Socialists jumping out of bed with Labour makes it easier for the Christians to jump into bed with Labour. After all the Christians’ self-righteous talk about loving all equally can’t really be expected to extend to socialists.
Liberals (V) 4.8%: In an increasingly desperate attempt to justify their existence, the Liberals last month refused to support any of the government’s restrictive policy package on refugees. If only they had decided to do this before the Christmas break and saved a whole lot of hassle for the bureaucrats who will now have to write up the whole thing again.
Conservatives (H) 23.8%: Loathe them or loathe them, you’ve got to be impressed with how the Conservatives manage to keep the government together. Mrs Prime Minister is agonisingly compotent and seems to have read everything; she is also extremely adept at talking down the influence of the rabid nut-jobs she is currently in government with. Last year this sloth would have reported that the there is no chance of Mrs PM being reelected, but now I’m not so sure. The road to a government is looking about as hard for Labour as it is for the Conservatives.
Populists (FrP) 17.0%: An alarmingly high polling for the populists, not surprising really seeing as they are the true hardliners when it comes to being hard on refugees and immigrants. Why bother voting for xenophobe light (Labour and Conservative) when you can vote for full fat xenophobe?
That’s all for this update. I hope to keep more coming as we weave and duck different political constellations before next year’s general election.